Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Figueiredo vs Malcolm Gordon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-5-1Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight128 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamAdrenaline Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco FigueiredoNow 1576
If they win+17→ 1593
If they lose-15→ 1561
Malcolm GordonNow 1589
If they win+15→ 1604
If they lose-17→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
62%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2
62%
Strike defense
44%
2.51
Takedown avg.
1.72
75%
Takedown accuracy
36%
76%
Takedown defense
27%
0.42
Submission avg.
1.03

Trajectory

Francisco FigueiredoMalcolm Gordon
15501600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
8 (62%)
Submission
6 (43%)
2 (15%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Figueiredo53%
Malcolm Gordon 47%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Figueiredo a 53% favorite over Malcolm Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Malcolm Gordon's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1589), separated by just 13 points.

Malcolm Gordon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Francisco Figueiredo finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Malcolm Gordon 79%.

Francisco Figueiredo and Malcolm Gordon share 1 common opponent: Amir Albazi.

Malcolm Gordon carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission · 2022
Amir Albazi
LossSubmission · 2020