Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Figueiredo vs Pedro Nobre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-1Record22-7-2
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1657 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco FigueiredoNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Pedro NobreNow 1573
If they win+12→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
1.37
62%
Strike accuracy
30%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.16
62%
Strike defense
35%
2.51
Takedown avg.
0
75%
Takedown accuracy
0%
76%
Takedown defense
0%
0.42
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Francisco FigueiredoPedro Nobre
15501600202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
8 (62%)
Submission
6 (27%)
2 (15%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Figueiredo70%
Pedro Nobre 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Figueiredo a 70% favorite over Pedro Nobre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1573), separated by just 5 points.

Pedro Nobre enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Francisco Figueiredo finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Nobre 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.