Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Hernandez vs Jordan Rinaldi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record14-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach72,0"
149 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA ColombiaTeamOne Kick's Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco HernandezNow 1617
If they win+24→ 1641
If they lose-24→ 1593
Jordan RinaldiNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.45
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
20%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.16

Trajectory

Francisco HernandezJordan Rinaldi
16002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (57%)
2 (33%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Hernandez56%
Jordan Rinaldi 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Hernandez a 56% favorite over Jordan Rinaldi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.

Francisco Hernandez enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Francisco Hernandez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Rinaldi 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.