Francisco Hernandez vs Victor Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach70,0"
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA ColombiaTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1486 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco HernandezVictor Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Victor Martinez59%
Francisco Hernandez 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Victor Martinez a 59% favorite over Francisco Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.
Francisco Hernandez enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Victor Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Francisco Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Victor Martinez 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.