Francisco Prado vs Peter Sobotta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record17-7-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamPlanet Eater
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco PradoPeter Sobotta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Prado63%
Peter Sobotta 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Prado a 63% favorite over Peter Sobotta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1652), separated by just 0 points.
Francisco Prado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Peter Sobotta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Francisco Prado finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Peter Sobotta 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.