Francisco Prado vs Steve Collins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1671 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamGilbert Grappling· 1558 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+24→ 1695
If they lose-24→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco PradoSteve Collins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Prado66%
Steve Collins 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Prado a 66% favorite over Steve Collins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.
Steve Collins enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Francisco Prado finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Steve Collins 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.