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Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Prado vs Yabna N’Tchalá

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record14-3-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1669 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamGile Ribeiro Team· 1650 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco PradoNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Yabna N’TchaláNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.68
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
44%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
0.76
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
40%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.76
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Francisco PradoYabna N’Tchalá
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
6 (50%)
Submission
3 (21%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Prado57%
Yabna N’Tchalá 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Prado a 57% favorite over Yabna N’Tchalá in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yabna N’Tchalá's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.

Francisco Prado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Francisco Prado finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yabna N’Tchalá 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.