Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Rivera vs George Roop

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record15-13-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height6'1"
68,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
All In MMATeamApex MMA

What's at stake

Francisco Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — George Roop carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Francisco RiveraNow 1611
If they win+9→ 1620
If they lose-15→ 1596
George RoopNow 1533
If they win+15→ 1548
If they lose-9→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
3.43
41%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.47
68%
Strike defense
61%
1.01
Takedown avg.
1.05
64%
Takedown accuracy
57%
68%
Takedown defense
60%
0.58
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Francisco RiveraGeorge Roop
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
6 (38%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Rivera72%
George Roop 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Rivera a 72% favorite over George Roop in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Francisco Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1533, a 78-point edge.

George Roop enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Francisco Rivera finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, George Roop 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.