Francisco Rivera vs John Garza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record6-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
All In MMATeamAzTex MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco RiveraJohn Garza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Rivera52%
John Garza 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Rivera a 52% favorite over John Garza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.
Francisco Rivera finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, John Garza 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.