Francisco Rivera vs John Lineker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record37-11-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'3"
68,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
All In MMATeamOCS Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Francisco Rivera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1628
If they lose-7→ 1604
If they win+10→ 1760
If they lose-22→ 1728
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco RiveraJohn Lineker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Lineker83%
Francisco Rivera 17%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes John Lineker a 83% favorite over Francisco Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1611, a 139-point edge.
Francisco Rivera finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, John Lineker 61%.
Francisco Rivera and John Lineker share 1 common opponent: John Dodson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.