Francisco Rivera vs Reuben Duran
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record13-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
All In MMATeamC-Quence Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Francisco Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Reuben Duran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1622
If they lose-13→ 1598
If they win+17→ 1597
If they lose-15→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco RiveraReuben Duran
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Francisco Rivera and Reuben Duran within a point of even.
Francisco Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1580, a 31-point edge.
Reuben Duran enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Francisco Rivera finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Reuben Duran 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.