Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Rivera vs Roland Delorme

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record9-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
68,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
All In MMATeamWinnipeg Academy of MMA

What's at stake

Francisco Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Roland Delorme carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Francisco RiveraNow 1611
If they win+11→ 1622
If they lose-13→ 1598
Roland DelormeNow 1573
If they win+18→ 1591
If they lose-14→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
41%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.32
68%
Strike defense
40%
1.01
Takedown avg.
2.51
64%
Takedown accuracy
34%
68%
Takedown defense
43%
0.58
Submission avg.
1.60

Trajectory

Francisco RiveraRoland Delorme
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (67%)
6 (38%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Rivera54%
Roland Delorme 46%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Rivera a 54% favorite over Roland Delorme in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Francisco Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1573, a 38-point edge.

Roland Delorme enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Francisco Rivera finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Roland Delorme 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.