Francisco Rivera vs Takeya Mizugaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record23-14-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68,0"Reach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
All In MMATeamHakkei Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco RiveraTakeya Mizugaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Takeya Mizugaki64%
Francisco Rivera 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Takeya Mizugaki a 64% favorite over Francisco Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1621), separated by just 10 points.
Francisco Rivera finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Takeya Mizugaki 26%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.