Francisco Rivera vs Urijah Faber
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record35-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
68,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
All In MMATeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Urijah Faber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Francisco Rivera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1628
If they lose-7→ 1604
If they win+7→ 1784
If they lose-17→ 1760
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco RiveraUrijah Faber
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Urijah Faber73%
Francisco Rivera 27%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Urijah Faber a 73% favorite over Francisco Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Urijah Faber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1611, a 166-point edge.
Francisco Rivera finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Urijah Faber 79%.
Francisco Rivera and Urijah Faber share 1 common opponent: Brad Pickett.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.