Francisco Trevino vs Hunter Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach69"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Macaco Gold TeamTeamPerformance Evolution Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco TrevinoHunter Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Trevino52%
Hunter Smith 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Trevino a 52% favorite over Hunter Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.
Francisco Trevino finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Hunter Smith 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.