Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Trevino vs Joe Giannetti

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record16-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Macaco Gold TeamTeamSouth Shore Sportfighting

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco TrevinoNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Joe GiannettiNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.65
Sig. strikes / min
1.93
42%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
64%
Strike defense
41%
0.97
Takedown avg.
1
22%
Takedown accuracy
17%
41%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Francisco TrevinoJoe Giannetti
160016501700201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
4 (31%)
Submission
8 (50%)
5 (38%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Giannetti64%
Francisco Trevino 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Giannetti a 64% favorite over Francisco Trevino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Francisco Trevino finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Joe Giannetti 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.