AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Trevino vs Kafiz Sakibekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Macaco Gold TeamTeamBrave Fight Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco TrevinoNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Kafiz SakibekovNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.65
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
64%
Strike defense
Not available
0.97
Takedown avg.
Not available
22%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
41%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Francisco TrevinoKafiz Sakibekov
1600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
4 (31%)
Submission
3 (27%)
5 (38%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Kafiz Sakibekov66%
Francisco Trevino 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 66% favorite over Francisco Trevino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1620), separated by just 2 points.

Francisco Trevino finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Kafiz Sakibekov 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.