Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Trevino vs Maheshate Hayisaer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Macaco Gold TeamTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco TrevinoNow 1618
If they win+17→ 1635
If they lose-15→ 1603
Maheshate HayisaerNow 1631
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-17→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
42%
Strike accuracy
31%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.96
64%
Strike defense
52%
0.97
Takedown avg.
0
22%
Takedown accuracy
0%
41%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Francisco TrevinoMaheshate Hayisaer
1600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
4 (31%)
Submission
1 (9%)
5 (38%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Maheshate Hayisaer70%
Francisco Trevino 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Maheshate Hayisaer a 70% favorite over Francisco Trevino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1631), separated by just 13 points.

Francisco Trevino finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Maheshate Hayisaer 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.