Francisco Trevino vs Mickael Lebout
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record23-12-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Macaco Gold TeamTeamObyfight· 1582 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco TrevinoMickael Lebout
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mickael Lebout54%
Francisco Trevino 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mickael Lebout a 54% favorite over Francisco Trevino in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francisco Trevino's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.
Francisco Trevino finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Mickael Lebout 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.