Francisco Trinaldo vs James Vick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-9-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'3"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin
What's at stake
Francisco Trinaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — James Vick carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1773
If they lose-16→ 1749
If they win+21→ 1668
If they lose-11→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco TrinaldoJames Vick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Trinaldo51%
James Vick 49%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Trinaldo a 51% favorite over James Vick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Francisco Trinaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1647, a 118-point edge.
James Vick enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Francisco Trinaldo finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, James Vick 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.