Francisco Trinaldo vs King Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-9-0Record35-17-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"Reach71″
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamPinnacle MMA
What's at stake
Francisco Trinaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — King Green carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1776
If they lose-14→ 1752
If they win+14→ 1724
If they lose-10→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco TrinaldoKing Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Trinaldo52%
King Green 48%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Trinaldo a 52% favorite over King Green in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Francisco Trinaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1710, a 56-point edge.
King Green enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Francisco Trinaldo finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, King Green 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.