Francisco Trinaldo vs Leandro Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-9-0Record28-12-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach42,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Francisco Trinaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Leandro Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1775
If they lose-15→ 1751
If they win+15→ 1686
If they lose-9→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco TrinaldoLeandro Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Trinaldo72%
Leandro Silva 28%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Trinaldo a 72% favorite over Leandro Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Francisco Trinaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1671, a 95-point edge.
Francisco Trinaldo finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Silva 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.