Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Trinaldo vs Logan Storley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-9-0Record19-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco TrinaldoNow 1766
If they win+12→ 1778
If they lose-12→ 1754
Logan StorleyNow 1760
If they win+16→ 1776
If they lose-16→ 1744

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
0.98
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.51
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Francisco TrinaldoLogan Storley
175018002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (34%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
5 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
14 (48%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Logan Storley70%
Francisco Trinaldo 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Logan Storley a 70% favorite over Francisco Trinaldo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francisco Trinaldo's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1766 vs 1760), separated by just 6 points.

Francisco Trinaldo finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Logan Storley 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.