Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Trinaldo vs Muslim Salikhov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-9-0Record22-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70"Reach70″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamFighting Eagle

What's at stake

Francisco Trinaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Muslim Salikhov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Francisco TrinaldoNow 1766
If they win+11→ 1777
If they lose-13→ 1753
Muslim SalikhovNow 1745
If they win+13→ 1758
If they lose-11→ 1734

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
45%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
61%
Strike defense
62%
0.98
Takedown avg.
1.07
42%
Takedown accuracy
32%
60%
Takedown defense
72%
0.51
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Francisco TrinaldoMuslim Salikhov
170017501800202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (34%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
5 (17%)
Submission
2 (9%)
14 (48%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Muslim Salikhov60%
Francisco Trinaldo 40%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Salikhov a 60% favorite over Francisco Trinaldo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francisco Trinaldo's way (47%).

Francisco Trinaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1745, a 21-point edge.

Francisco Trinaldo finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Salikhov 77%.

Francisco Trinaldo and Muslim Salikhov share 1 common opponent: Randy Brown.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Randy Brown
LossKO/TKO · 2024