Francisco Trinaldo vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-9-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'3"
70"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1778
If they lose-12→ 1754
If they win+12→ 1780
If they lose-12→ 1756
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco TrinaldoNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny82%
Francisco Trinaldo 18%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 82% favorite over Francisco Trinaldo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1766 vs 1768), separated by just 2 points.
Francisco Trinaldo finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.
Neil Magny carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.