Francisco Trinaldo vs Norman Parke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-9-0Record32-7-1
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"Reach40,0"
170 lbsWeight200 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamNext Generation NI
What's at stake
Francisco Trinaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Norman Parke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1777
If they lose-13→ 1753
If they win+13→ 1750
If they lose-11→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco TrinaldoNorman Parke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Norman Parke54%
Francisco Trinaldo 46%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Norman Parke a 54% favorite over Francisco Trinaldo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francisco Trinaldo's way (46%).
Francisco Trinaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1737, a 29-point edge.
Norman Parke enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Francisco Trinaldo finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Norman Parke 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.