Francisco Trinaldo vs Piotr Hallmann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-9-0Record19-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach41,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamMighty Bulls Gdynia
What's at stake
Francisco Trinaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Piotr Hallmann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1774
If they lose-16→ 1750
If they win+21→ 1678
If they lose-11→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco TrinaldoPiotr Hallmann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Trinaldo58%
Piotr Hallmann 42%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Trinaldo a 58% favorite over Piotr Hallmann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Francisco Trinaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1657, a 109-point edge.
Piotr Hallmann enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Francisco Trinaldo finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Hallmann 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.