Francisco Trinaldo vs Randy Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
29-9-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'3"
70"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamBudokan Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Francisco Trinaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Randy Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1776
If they lose-13→ 1752
If they win+13→ 1755
If they lose-11→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1728 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco TrinaldoRandy Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Brown76%
Francisco Trinaldo 24%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Brown a 76% favorite over Francisco Trinaldo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francisco Trinaldo's way (47%).
Francisco Trinaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1742, a 23-point edge.
Randy Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Francisco Trinaldo finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Randy Brown 65%.
Francisco Trinaldo and Randy Brown share 1 common opponent: Muslim Salikhov.
Randy Brown carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.