Francisco Trinaldo vs Ross Pearson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-9-0Record20-17-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach69,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamCentral Coast MMA
What's at stake
Francisco Trinaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1772
If they lose-18→ 1748
If they win+18→ 1590
If they lose-6→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco TrinaldoRoss Pearson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Trinaldo83%
Ross Pearson 17%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Trinaldo a 83% favorite over Ross Pearson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Francisco Trinaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1572, a 194-point edge.
Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Francisco Trinaldo finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Ross Pearson 60%.
Francisco Trinaldo and Ross Pearson share 1 common opponent: John Makdessi.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.