Frank Camacho vs Geoff Neal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record16-8-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
73"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Geoff Neal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Frank Camacho carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1595
If they lose-11→ 1563
If they win+11→ 1704
If they lose-21→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Frank CamachoGeoff Neal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Geoff Neal81%
Frank Camacho 19%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Geoff Neal a 81% favorite over Frank Camacho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Geoff Neal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1574, a 119-point edge.
Frank Camacho enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Geoff Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Frank Camacho finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Geoff Neal 75%.
Geoff Neal carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.