Combat Edge Intelligence

Frank Camacho vs Justin Jaynes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record17-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight159 lbs
Team Oyama· 1650 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Frank Camacho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Justin Jaynes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Frank CamachoNow 1569
If they win+15→ 1584
If they lose-17→ 1552
Justin JaynesNow 1553
If they win+13→ 1566
If they lose-11→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.56
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
46%
Strike accuracy
44%
7.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.33
52%
Strike defense
63%
1.11
Takedown avg.
0.75
31%
Takedown accuracy
40%
73%
Takedown defense
20%
0
Submission avg.
1.12

Trajectory

Frank CamachoJustin Jaynes
1550160020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

17 (77%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
2 (9%)
Submission
6 (38%)
3 (14%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Frank Camacho62%
Justin Jaynes 38%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Frank Camacho a 62% favorite over Justin Jaynes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Frank Camacho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1569 to 1553, a 16-point edge.

Frank Camacho enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Frank Camacho finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Justin Jaynes 88%.

Frank Camacho carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.