Frank Megallon vs Marcio Alexandre Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TeamAstra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Marcio Alexandre Junior is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Frank Megallon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1473
If they lose-23→ 1425
If they win+23→ 1490
If they lose-25→ 1442
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Frank MegallonMarcio Alexandre Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Frank Megallon52%
Marcio Alexandre Junior 48%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Frank Megallon a 52% favorite over Marcio Alexandre Junior in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcio Alexandre Junior's way (47%).
Marcio Alexandre Junior holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1467 to 1448, a 19-point edge.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.