Combat Edge Intelligence

Frank Mir vs Ian Freeman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ian Freeman

Ian Freeman

“The Machine”

20-7-1Light HeavyweightUCFC

1648Solid

Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record20-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
79"ReachTBD
262 lbsWeight205 lbs
Frank Mir GymTeamMachine MMA

What's at stake

Ian Freeman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Frank Mir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Frank MirNow 1620
If they win+13→ 1633
If they lose-11→ 1609
Ian FreemanNow 1648
If they win+15→ 1663
If they lose-17→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
47%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.11
39%
Strike defense
45%
2.02
Takedown avg.
1.44
40%
Takedown accuracy
40%
55%
Takedown defense
80%
2.02
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Frank MirIan Freeman
16001650201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
10 (50%)
9 (50%)
Submission
6 (30%)
4 (22%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Ian Freeman60%
Frank Mir 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Ian Freeman a 60% favorite over Frank Mir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Ian Freeman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1620, a 28-point edge.

Ian Freeman enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Frank Mir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ian Freeman 80%.

Frank Mir and Ian Freeman share 1 common opponent: Andrei Arlovski.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2015
Andrei Arlovski
WinKO/TKO · 2002