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Combat Edge Intelligence

Frank Mir vs Ian Freeman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ian Freeman
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Ian Freeman

“The Machine”

20-7-1Light HeavyweightUCFC

1648Solid

Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record20-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
79"ReachTBD
262 lbsWeight205 lbs
Frank Mir GymTeamMachine MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frank MirNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Ian FreemanNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
47%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.11
39%
Strike defense
45%
2.02
Takedown avg.
1.44
40%
Takedown accuracy
40%
55%
Takedown defense
80%
2.02
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Frank MirIan Freeman
1650201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
10 (50%)
9 (50%)
Submission
6 (30%)
4 (22%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Frank Mir66%
Ian Freeman 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Frank Mir a 66% favorite over Ian Freeman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ian Freeman's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1648), separated by just 10 points.

Ian Freeman enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Frank Mir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ian Freeman 80%.

Frank Mir and Ian Freeman share 1 common opponent: Andrei Arlovski.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2015
Andrei Arlovski
WinKO/TKO · 2002