Combat Edge Intelligence

Frank Mir vs Josh Barnett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Barnett
us

Josh Barnett

“The Warmaster”

35-8-0HeavyweightUFC

1777Great

Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record35-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"Reach78,0"
262 lbsWeight248 lbs
Frank Mir GymTeamUWF USA

What's at stake

Josh Barnett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Frank Mir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Frank MirNow 1620
If they win+17→ 1637
If they lose-7→ 1613
Josh BarnettNow 1777
If they win+7→ 1784
If they lose-17→ 1760

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.20
47%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.11
39%
Strike defense
57%
2.02
Takedown avg.
1.26
40%
Takedown accuracy
55%
55%
Takedown defense
56%
2.02
Submission avg.
1.38

Trajectory

Frank MirJosh Barnett
16001650170017501800201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
10 (29%)
9 (50%)
Submission
19 (56%)
4 (22%)
Decision
5 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Barnett78%
Frank Mir 22%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Barnett a 78% favorite over Frank Mir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Josh Barnett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1620, a 157-point edge.

Frank Mir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Josh Barnett 85%.

Frank Mir and Josh Barnett share 3 common opponents: Roy Nelson, Andrei Arlovski and Daniel Cormier.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDEC · 2015
Andrei Arlovski
WinSUB · 2016
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2019
Roy Nelson
WinDEC · 2015
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2013
Daniel Cormier
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2012