Frank Mir vs Marcio Cruz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-13-0Record8-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
79"ReachTBD
262 lbsWeight205 lbs
Frank Mir GymTeamGracie Fusion
What's at stake
Frank Mir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marcio Cruz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1631
If they lose-13→ 1607
If they win+18→ 1600
If they lose-14→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Frank MirMarcio Cruz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Frank Mir52%
Marcio Cruz 48%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Frank Mir a 52% favorite over Marcio Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Frank Mir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1582, a 38-point edge.
Frank Mir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Cruz 86%.
Frank Mir and Marcio Cruz share 1 common opponent: Andrei Arlovski.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.