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Combat Edge Intelligence

Frank Mir vs Matt Gawlik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Gawlik
us

Matt Gawlik

“Bear Wolf”

6-0-0HeavyweightCFFC

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"Reach-
262 lbsWeight235 lbs
Frank Mir GymTeamTeam Top Notch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frank MirNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Matt GawlikNow 1640
If they win+24→ 1664
If they lose-24→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
39%
Strike defense
Not available
2.02
Takedown avg.
Not available
40%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
55%
Takedown defense
Not available
2.02
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Frank MirMatt Gawlik
15501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
9 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Frank Mir51%
Matt Gawlik 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Frank Mir a 51% favorite over Matt Gawlik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Gawlik's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1640), separated by just 2 points.

Matt Gawlik enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Frank Mir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Matt Gawlik 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.