Combat Edge Intelligence

Frank Mir vs Mirko Filipović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record38-11-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"Reach73"
262 lbsWeight234 lbs
Frank Mir GymTeamCro Cop Top Team

What's at stake

Mirko Filipović is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Frank Mir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Frank MirNow 1620
If they win+18→ 1638
If they lose-6→ 1614
Mirko FilipovićNow 1809
If they win+6→ 1815
If they lose-18→ 1791

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.11
47%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.89
39%
Strike defense
64%
2.02
Takedown avg.
0.19
40%
Takedown accuracy
40%
55%
Takedown defense
78%
2.02
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Frank MirMirko Filipović
16001650170017501800201720182019

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
30 (79%)
9 (50%)
Submission
4 (11%)
4 (22%)
Decision
4 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Mirko Filipović64%
Frank Mir 36%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Mirko Filipović a 64% favorite over Frank Mir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Mirko Filipović holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1809 to 1620, a 189-point edge.

Mirko Filipović enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Frank Mir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mirko Filipović 89%.

Frank Mir and Mirko Filipović share 1 common opponent: Roy Nelson.

Frank Mir carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2019
Roy Nelson
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2019