Combat Edge Intelligence

Frank Mir vs Tim Sylvia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Sylvia
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Tim Sylvia

“The Maine-iac”

31-10-0HeavyweightAMC

1714Good

Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record31-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'8"
79"ReachTBD
262 lbsWeight265 lbs
Frank Mir GymTeamTeam Extreme

What's at stake

Tim Sylvia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Frank Mir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Frank MirNow 1620
If they win+15→ 1635
If they lose-9→ 1611
Tim SylviaNow 1714
If they win+9→ 1723
If they lose-15→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
4.23
47%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
39%
Strike defense
61%
2.02
Takedown avg.
0.11
40%
Takedown accuracy
100%
55%
Takedown defense
75%
2.02
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Frank MirTim Sylvia
1600165017001750201120122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
22 (71%)
9 (50%)
Submission
2 (6%)
4 (22%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Sylvia61%
Frank Mir 39%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Sylvia a 61% favorite over Frank Mir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Tim Sylvia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1620, a 94-point edge.

Tim Sylvia enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Frank Mir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tim Sylvia 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.