Frank Mir vs Todd Duffee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-13-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"Reach78,0"
262 lbsWeight241 lbs
Frank Mir GymTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Frank Mir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Todd Duffee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1631
If they lose-13→ 1607
If they win+17→ 1618
If they lose-15→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Frank MirTodd Duffee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Todd Duffee60%
Frank Mir 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Todd Duffee a 60% favorite over Frank Mir in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Frank Mir's way (47%).
Frank Mir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1601, a 19-point edge.
Todd Duffee enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Frank Mir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Todd Duffee 100%.
Frank Mir and Todd Duffee share 1 common opponent: Alistair Overeem.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.