Frank Trigg vs Josh Koscheck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
181 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamDethrone Base Camp
What's at stake
Frank Trigg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Koscheck carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1698
If they lose-13→ 1674
If they win+13→ 1657
If they lose-11→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Frank TriggJosh Koscheck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Frank Trigg60%
Josh Koscheck 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Frank Trigg a 60% favorite over Josh Koscheck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Frank Trigg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1644, a 43-point edge.
Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Frank Trigg finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Josh Koscheck 59%.
Frank Trigg and Josh Koscheck share 1 common opponent: Robbie Lawler.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.