Frankie Edgar vs Hermes Franca
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-11-1Record26-20-0
BantamweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight170 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamVictory MMA
What's at stake
Frankie Edgar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Hermes Franca carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1698
If they lose-17→ 1674
If they win+17→ 1569
If they lose-7→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Frankie EdgarHermes Franca
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Frankie Edgar84%
Hermes Franca 16%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Frankie Edgar a 84% favorite over Hermes Franca in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Frankie Edgar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1552, a 139-point edge.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Hermes Franca enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Frankie Edgar finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Hermes Franca 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.