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Combat Edge Intelligence

Frankie Edgar vs Mark Bocek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-11-1Record12-5-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
68"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frankie EdgarNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Mark BocekNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
40%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
66%
Strike defense
61%
2.29
Takedown avg.
3.65
29%
Takedown accuracy
37%
66%
Takedown defense
31%
0.31
Submission avg.
1.32

Trajectory

Frankie EdgarMark Bocek
1700175020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
4 (17%)
Submission
7 (58%)
13 (54%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Frankie Edgar60%
Mark Bocek 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Frankie Edgar a 60% favorite over Mark Bocek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Bocek's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1697), separated by just 6 points.

Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Frankie Edgar finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Mark Bocek 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.