Frankie Edgar vs Matt Veach
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-11-1Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight170 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamFinney's MMA
What's at stake
Frankie Edgar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Matt Veach carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1702
If they lose-13→ 1678
If they win+18→ 1672
If they lose-14→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Frankie EdgarMatt Veach
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Frankie Edgar77%
Matt Veach 23%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Frankie Edgar a 77% favorite over Matt Veach in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Frankie Edgar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1654, a 37-point edge.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Frankie Edgar finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Matt Veach 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.