Frankie Edgar vs Max Holloway
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-11-1Record28-9-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'11"
68"Reach69"
136 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamGracie Technics
What's at stake
Max Holloway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Frankie Edgar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1709
If they lose-7→ 1685
If they win+7→ 1837
If they lose-17→ 1813
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1791 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Frankie EdgarMax Holloway
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Holloway92%
Frankie Edgar 8%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Holloway a 92% favorite over Frankie Edgar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Max Holloway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1692, a 138-point edge.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Frankie Edgar finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Max Holloway 54%.
Frankie Edgar and Max Holloway share 2 common opponents: Chan Sung Jung and Yair Rodriguez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.