Frankie Edgar vs Michael McDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-11-1Record19-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach70,0"
136 lbsWeight136 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamLast Stand Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Frankie EdgarMichael McDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael McDonald54%
Frankie Edgar 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael McDonald a 54% favorite over Frankie Edgar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Frankie Edgar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1691), separated by just 0 points.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michael McDonald enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Frankie Edgar finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Michael McDonald 84%.
Michael McDonald carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.