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Combat Edge Intelligence

Frankie Edgar vs Spencer Fisher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-11-1Record24-9-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeam

What's at stake

Frankie Edgar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Spencer Fisher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Frankie EdgarNow 1691
If they win+11→ 1702
If they lose-13→ 1678
Spencer FisherNow 1653
If they win+13→ 1666
If they lose-11→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
40%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.03
66%
Strike defense
64%
2.29
Takedown avg.
0.67
29%
Takedown accuracy
30%
66%
Takedown defense
60%
0.31
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Frankie EdgarSpencer Fisher
1650170017502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
4 (17%)
Submission
9 (38%)
13 (54%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Frankie Edgar67%
Spencer Fisher 33%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Frankie Edgar a 67% favorite over Spencer Fisher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Frankie Edgar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1653, a 38-point edge.

Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Spencer Fisher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Frankie Edgar finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Spencer Fisher 79%.

Frankie Edgar and Spencer Fisher share 1 common opponent: Jeremy Stephens.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDEC · 2016
Jeremy Stephens
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2008