Combat Edge Intelligence

Frankie Edgar vs Tyson Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-11-1Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Frankie Edgar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Tyson Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Frankie EdgarNow 1692
If they win+8→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1676
Tyson GriffinNow 1584
If they win+21→ 1605
If they lose-11→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
40%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
66%
Strike defense
65%
2.29
Takedown avg.
1.87
29%
Takedown accuracy
47%
66%
Takedown defense
60%
0.31
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Frankie EdgarTyson Griffin
16001650170017502019202020212022

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
4 (17%)
Submission
3 (18%)
13 (54%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Frankie Edgar64%
Tyson Griffin 36%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Frankie Edgar a 64% favorite over Tyson Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Frankie Edgar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1584, a 108-point edge.

Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Frankie Edgar finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.