Frankie Edgar vs Yair Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-11-1Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
68"Reach71"
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamValle Flow Striking
What's at stake
Yair Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Frankie Edgar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1706
If they lose-10→ 1682
If they win+13→ 1764
If they lose-19→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Frankie EdgarYair Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yair Rodriguez82%
Frankie Edgar 18%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Yair Rodriguez a 82% favorite over Frankie Edgar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Yair Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1692, a 59-point edge.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Frankie Edgar finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.
Frankie Edgar and Yair Rodriguez share 4 common opponents: Chan Sung Jung, Max Holloway, Brian Ortega and Jeremy Stephens.
Yair Rodriguez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.