Frankie Edgar vs Yuya Wakamatsu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-11-1Record21-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1650 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Frankie EdgarYuya Wakamatsu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Frankie Edgar57%
Yuya Wakamatsu 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Frankie Edgar a 57% favorite over Yuya Wakamatsu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yuya Wakamatsu's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1692), separated by just 1 points.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Frankie Edgar finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Yuya Wakamatsu 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.