Combat Edge Intelligence

Frankie Perez vs Johnny Case

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Johnny Case
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Johnny Case

“Hollywood”

30-10-1WelterweightRFF

1633Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record30-10-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
40,0"Reach72,5"
155 lbsWeight159 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frankie PerezNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Johnny CaseNow 1633
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.95
42%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.66
54%
Strike defense
61%
1.75
Takedown avg.
1.70
42%
Takedown accuracy
45%
50%
Takedown defense
73%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Frankie PerezJohnny Case
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
21 (72%)
6 (55%)
Submission
4 (14%)
3 (27%)
Decision
4 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Johnny Case60%
Frankie Perez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Case a 60% favorite over Frankie Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1633), separated by just 1 points.

Frankie Perez finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Case 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.