Frankie Perez vs Johnny Case
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record28-10-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
40,0"Reach72,5"
155 lbsWeight159 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Johnny Case is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Frankie Perez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1654
If they lose-15→ 1622
If they win+11→ 1675
If they lose-13→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Frankie PerezJohnny Case
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Frankie Perez62%
Johnny Case 38%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Frankie Perez a 62% favorite over Johnny Case in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Johnny Case's way (46%).
Johnny Case holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1637, a 27-point edge.
Frankie Perez finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Case 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.